Testing the Cherdyntsev–Chalov effect using a seismic vibrator ЦВО-100 and monitoring of similar U-hydroisotopic responses to earthquake preparation in the Kultuk test site, Southern Baikal

Authors

A.M. Ilyasova¹, S.V. Rasskazov^1,2, E.P. Chebykin^1,3, S.A. Bornyakov¹, S.V. Snopkov², I.S. Chuvashova^1,2, Ts.A. Tubanov⁴, E.I. German⁴, S.V. Bartanova⁴

¹Institute of the Earth's Crust SB RAS, Irkutsk, Russia

²Irkutsk State University, Irkutsk, Russia

³Limnological Institute SB RAS, Irkutsk, Russia

⁴N.L. Dobretsov Geological Institute SB RAS, Ulan-Ude, Russia

About the Authors

Ilyasova Aigul Maratovna,

candidate of geological and mineralogical sciences, leading engineer,

664033 Irkutsk, st. Lermontova, d. 128,

Institute of the Earth's Crust SB RAS,

еmail: ila@crust.irk.ru.

Rasskazov Sergei Vasilievich,

doctor of geological and mineralogical sciences, professor,

664003 Irkutsk, st. Lenina, 3,

Irkutsk State University, Faculty of Geology,

Head of Dynamic Geology Char,

664033 Irkutsk, st. Lermontova, 128,

Institute of the Earth's Crust SB RAS,

Head of the Laboratory for Isotopic and Geochronological Studies,

tel.: (3952) 51–16–59,

еmail: rassk@crust.irk.ru.

Chebykin Evgeny Pavlovich,

Candidate of Chemical Sciences, Senior Researcher,

664033 Irkutsk, st. Lermontova, d. 128,

Institute of the Earth's Crust SB RAS,

664033 Irkutsk, st. Ulan-Batorskaya, 3, Limnological Institute SB RAS,

еmail: epcheb@yandex.ru.

Bornyakov Sergey Alexandrovich,

candidate of geological and mineralogical sciences,

664033 Irkutsk, st. Lermontova, 128,

Institute of the Earth's Crust SB RAS,

Senior Researcher,

еmail: bonyak@crust.irk.ru.

Snopkov Sergey Viktorovich,

Candidate of Geological and Mineralogical Sciences, Associate Professor,

664003 Irkutsk, st. Lenina, 3,

Irkutsk State University, Faculty of Geology,

еmail: snopkov_serg@mail.ru.

Chuvashova Irina Sergeevna,

candidate of geological and mineralogical sciences,

664003 Irkutsk, st. Lenina, 3,

Irkutsk State University, Faculty of Geology,

assistant professor,

664033 Irkutsk, st. Lermontova, 128,

Institute of the Earth's Crust SB RAS,

Senior Researcher,

tel.: (3952) 51–16–59,

еmail: chuvashova@crust.irk.ru.

Tubanov Tsyren Alekseevich,

candidate of geological and mineralogical sciences, leading researcher,

670047 Ulan-Ude, 6а Sakhyanovа str,

N.L. Dobretsov Geological Institute SB RAS,

еmail: geos@ginst.ru.

German Evgeny Ivanovich,

еngineer,

670047 Ulan-Ude, 6а Sakhyanovа str,

N.L. Dobretsov Geological Institute SB RAS,

еmail: Net-admin@list.ru.

Bartanova Svetlana Victorovna,

еngineer,

670047 Ulan-Ude, 6а Sakhyanovа str,

N.L. Dobretsov Geological Institute SB RAS,

еmail: bartanova@list.ru.

Abstract. The results of an seismic variation experiment at the Babushkin test site and monitoring observations of the ²³⁴U/²³⁸Uactivity ratio in groundwater from a paleoseismogenic dislocation in a zone of the Main Sayan Fault are presented. Found is a similarity between effects obtained in the experiment and data at the monitoring station in 2014, but no similar effects during preparation and realization of the strong Bystraya earthquake in 2020. It is inferred that the monitoring observation of a single station is not enough for a successful prediction of a strong earthquake. It is necessary to support hydrogeochemical monitoring of several stations located on the test site in different structural conditions and provided different information on seismogenic deformations that change over time.

Keywords: ²³⁴U/²³⁸U, groundwater, monitoring, earthquake prediction, Baikal.

P. 7–25

References

Dobrynina A.A., Sankov V.A. Directions of rupture in earthquake sources as an indicator of destructive process propagation (on the example of the Baikal Rift System) // Geodynamic evolution of the lithosphere of the Central Asian belt (from ocean to continent). Issue. 6, v. 1. Irkutsk: IZK SO RAN, 2008. P. 110–112.

Map of earthquake epicenters. Irkutsk: Baikal Branch of the Geophysical Survey, 2022. http://www.seis-bykl.ru

Kiselev G.P., Zykov S.B. Studies of the Cherdyntsev–Chalov effect. Problems and prospects // Radioactivity and radioactive elements in the human environment. Proceedings of the IV International Conference, Tomsk, June 4–8, 2013. P. 275–278.

Melnikova V.I., Gileva N.A., Arefiev S.S., Bykova V.V., Masalsky O.K. 2008 Kultuk earthquake with Mw = 6.3 in the south of Baikal: Spatial-temporal analysis of seismic reactivation // Physics of the Earth. 2012. No. 11. P. 44–62.

Rasskazov S.V., Ilyasova A.M., Chuvashova I.S., Bornyakov S.A., Orgil'yanov A.I., Kovalenko S.N., Seminsky A.K., Popov E.P., Chebykin E.P. Hydrogeochemical zonality of uranium isotopes (²³⁴U/²³⁸U) in the south of the Siberian paleocontinent: the role of the South Baikal reservoir in the formation of groundwater // Geodynamics and Tectonophysics. 2020. V. 11, No. 3. P. 632–650. https://doi.org/10.5800/GT-2020-11-3-0496.

Rasskazov S.V., Chebykin E.P., Ilyasova A.M., Vodneva E.N., Chuvashova I.S., Bornyakov S.A., Seminsky A.K., Snopkov S.V., Chechelnitsky V.V., Gileva N.A. Development of the Kultuk seismic prognostic test site: (²³⁴U/²³⁸U) and ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr variations in groundwater from active faults on the western coast of the Baikal // Geodynamics and Tectonophysics. 2015. V. 6, No. 4. P. 519–553.

Rasskazov S.V., Chebykin E.P., Ilyasova A.M., Tubanov Ts.A., German E.I., Bartanova S.V., Bornyakov S.A., Chuvashova I.S. Testing the Cherdyntsev–Chalov effect using a seismic vibrator at the Babushkin test site and the results of monitoring the ²³⁴U/²³⁸U activity ratios in groundwater for earthquake prediction in the South Baikal depression // V All-Russian Scientific and Practical Conference on Geodynamics and Minerageny of North and Central Asia, August 27–31, Ulan-Ude, 2018. P. 308–310.

Ruzhich V.V. Seismotectonic destruction in the crust of the Baikal rift zone. Publishing House Nauka, Siberian Branch, Novosibirsk, 1997. 144 p.

Semenov R.M., Kashkovsky V.V., Lopatin M.N. Model of preparation and implementation of a tectonic earthquake and its precursors under conditions of crustal extension // Geodynamics and tectonophysics. 2018. V. 9, No. 1. P. 165–175. DOI:10.5800/GT-2018-9-1-0343.

Solonenko V.P., Nikolaev V.V., Semenov R.M., Demyanovich M.G., Kurushin R.A., Khromovskikh V.S., Chipizubov A.V. Geology and seismicity of the BAM zone. Seismogeology and seismic zoning. Novosibirsk: Nauka, 1985. 207 p.

Timofeev V.Yu., Kalish E.N., Stus Yu.F., Ardyukov D.G., Arnautov G.P., Smirnov M.G., Timofeev A.V., Nosov D.A., Sizikov I .S., Boyko E.V., Gribanova E.I. Gravity variations and modern geodynamics of the southwestern part of the Baikal region // Geodynamics & Tectonophysics. 2013. V. 4, No. 2. P. 135–168. doi:10.5800/GT2013420094.

Timashev S.F. On the nature of the Cherdyntsev–Chalov effect // Journal of Physical Chemistry. 2018. V. 92, No. 6. P. 883–887. doi: 10.7868/S0044453718060043.

Sherman S.I., Lysak S.V., Gorbunova E.A. Tectonophysical model of the Baikal seismic zone, its testing and possibilities of medium-term earthquake prediction // Geology and geophysics. 2012. V. 53, No. 4. P. 508–526.

Chebykin E.P., Goldberg E.L., Kulikova N.S., Zhuchenko N.A., Stepanova O.G., Malopevnaya Yu.A. Method for determining the isotopic composition of authigenic uranium in the bottom sediments of Lake Baikal // Geology and Geophysics. 2007. V. 48. No. 6. P. 604–616.

Chebykin E.P., Rasskazov S.V., Vodneva E.N., Ilyasova A.M., Chuvashova I.S., Bornyakov S.A., Seminsky A.K., Snopkov S.V. First results of 234U/238U monitoring in waters from active faults on the western coast of Southern Baikal // Doklady of the Earth Sciences. 2015. V. 460, No. 4. P. 464–467.

Cherdyntsev V.V. Uranium-234 // M.: Atomizdat, 1969. 308 p. Cherdyntsev V.V. Nuclear volcanology // M.: Nauka, 1973. 208 p.

Chalov P.I. Isotopic fractionation of natural uranium // Frunze: Ilim, 1975. 236 p.

Sherman S.I. Seismic processes and earthquake prediction: tectonophysical concept. Novosibirsk: Academic publishing house "Geo", 2014. 359 p.

Yakovlev E.Yu., Kiselev G.P., Druzhinin S.V., Zykov S.B. Investigation of the fractionation of uranium isotopes (²³⁴U/²³⁸U) during the formation of ice crystals // Bulletin Northern (Arctic) Federal University. Ser.: Natural science. 2016. No. 3. P. 15–23. doi:10.17238/issn2227-6572.2016.3.15.

Bornyakov S.A., Miroshnichenko A.I., Salko D. Diagnostics of pre-seismogenic state of heterogeneous environments according to the deformation monitoring // Doklady Earth Sciences 2015. V. 468, No. 1. P. 84–87.

Bornyakov S.А., Ма J., Miroshnichenko A.I., Guo Y., Salko D.V., Zuev F.L. Diagnostics of meta-instable state of seismically active fault // Geodynamics & Tectonophysics. 2017. V. 8, No. 4. P. 989–998. doi:10.5800/GT-2017-8-4-0328.

Kovalevsky V.V., Sobisevich A.L., Tubanov Ts.A., Braginskaya L.P., Grigoryuk A.P. Vibroseismic Investigations of the Baikal Rift Zone with a Powerful CVO-100 Vibrator. Geodynamics & Tectonophysics. 2022. V. 13, No. 2. P. 0589. doi:10.5800/GT-2022-13-2-0589.

Rasskazov S., Ilyasova A., Bornyakov S., Chuvashova I., Chebykin E. Responses of a 234U/238U activity ratio in groundwater to earthquakes in the South Baikal Basin, Siberia // Front. Earth Sci. 2020. V. 14 (4): 711–737; doi.org/10.1007/s11707-020-0821-5.

Sherman S.I. A tectonophysical model of a seismic zone: experience of development based on the example of the Baikal rift system. Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earthю 2009. V. 45, No. 11. P. 938–941. http://dx.doi.org/10.1134/S1069351309110020.

Sherman S.I. Deformation waves as a trigger mechanism of seismic activity in seismic zones of the continental lithosphere // Geodynamics & Tectonophysics. 2013. V. 4, No. 2. P. 83–117. doi:10.5800/GT-2013-4-2-0093.

For citation

Ilyasova A.M. Testing the Cherdyntsev–Chalov effect using a seismic vibrator ЦВО-100 and monitoring of similar U-hydroisotopic responses to earthquake preparation in the Kultuk test site, Southern Baikal [Электронный ресурс] / A.M. Ilyasova, S.V. Rasskazov, E.P. Chebykin, S.A. Bornyakov, S.V. Snopkov, I.S. Chuvashova, Ts.A. Tubanov, E.I. German, S.V. Bartanova // Geology and Environment.— 2022.— Т. 2, № 4.— С. 7–25. DOI 10.26516/2541-9641.2022.4.7
Режим доступа: http://geoenvir.ru/archive/g&e22-2-4/ilyasova22-4.htm (30.12.2022).

Full text (Russian) | In here |